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Despite a run of positive economic data, including strong job growth and record unemployment, the economy has been a stubborn weakness for President Biden and Democrats, particularly among Black and Latino voters. The group rolled out a similar effort with an anti-“Bidenomics” message last year, but organizers said this campaign would be much larger in scope. Although Latino voters still overall lean Democratic, former President Donald J. Trump improved his performance with the slice of voters in 2020, and in some areas like South Florida and South Texas made sizable gains. Mr. Biden, on the other hand, has stepped his up — and has been looking to sharpen his own economic message after an earlier push to reclaim the term “Bidenomics” largely fell flat. The liberal organizations have earmarked $33 million to mobilize Hispanic voters for Mr. Biden and other key Democratic races in several battleground states.
Persons: Koch, Biden’s, “ Bidenomics, Biden, , ” Jose Mallea, Donald J, Trump, , Somos, Somos Votantes, Josh Harder, Mike Levin, Gabriel Vasquez, Yadira Caraveo, NoBidenomics.com — Organizations: Libre, New York Times, Republicans, Pew Research Center, Associated Press, Somos PAC, Mr, Republican Locations: Spanish, , Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Arizona, South Florida, South Texas, Libre, Montana , Nevada , Ohio, Wisconsin, In California, New Mexico, Colorado, America
CNN —As the first criminal prosecution of a former American president began just 13% nationwide feel Donald Trump is being treated the same as other criminal defendants, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds. Most of the country was divided over whether he is being treated more harshly (34%) or more leniently (34%) than other defendants. Most Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say Trump is being treated more leniently than other defendants by the criminal justice system (61%), while Republicans and Republican-leaning independents largely say he’s being treated more harshly than others (67%). A broad majority of Democratic-aligned Americans say Trump’s behavior during the trial thus far has been inappropriate (72%), though Republicans haven’t leapt to his defense. Only 46% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say Trump’s conduct has been appropriate, with 15% saying it’s been inappropriate and 39% that they haven’t heard enough to say.
Persons: Donald Trump, SSRS, Stormy Daniels, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Honig, there’s, it’s, haven’t, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy, Ed Wu Organizations: CNN, Republican, Trump, Biden, Capitol, Republican Party, Democratic, Republicans Locations: American
Newly registered voters, who are disproportionately young and nonwhite, have tended to lean Democratic. That’s been less and less true during the Biden era. A majority of states ask people to select a party affiliation when they register, and last year newly registered Democrats made up only about 53 percent of those who chose a major party — beating Republican sign-ups by a narrow margin of 26 percent to 23 percent of total registrations — according to data from L2, a nonpartisan voter data vendor.
Persons: That’s, Biden Organizations: Republican
If those population-growth patterns continue for the rest of the decade, it could seriously imperil the Democrats’ long-term chances of winning the White House. The Week in Cartoons Jan. 15-19 View All 5 ImagesFor Democrats, the picture is grim. An analysis by the Brookings Institution found that the main factor driving population growth in 2022-23 was immigration. The two states Democrats are eyeing most urgently to become the new Arizona and Georgia are North Carolina and Texas. In particular, predictions of “Blexas” – a blue Texas – have taken longer to materialize than most Democrats had hoped.
Persons: Donald Trump, University’s, Joe Biden, , Alan Abramowitz, Christopher Cooper, Brennan, Biden, Mark P, Jones, it’s, Michael McDonald, Trump, Michael Bitzer, ” Bitzer, “ Biden's, Thomas Schaller, ” Schaller, , Barack Obama, Cooper Organizations: White, Center for Justice, Biden, Emory University, Democrats, Western Carolina University, , , Republicans, Rice University, University of Florida, Brookings Institution, Brookings, North Carolina’s Catawba, Northern Blacks, Brennan, University of Maryland, American Democracy, Senate, Democratic, Texas, Democratic Party, Electoral College Locations: South Carolina , Florida , Texas , Idaho, North Carolina, Tennessee, Utah, New, Texas, Florida, Idaho, South Carolina , Tennessee, California, New York, Illinois, Minnesota , Oregon, Rhode, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, U.S, That’s, North, Northern, Baltimore, Arizona , Colorado , New Mexico, Nevada, “ Texas, United States
[1/3] U.S. President Joe Biden speaks during a reception at the White House ahead of the 46th Kennedy Center Honors gala, in Washington, U.S. December 3, 2023. "We're putting in the work across our fundraising program and look forward to again outperforming the MAGA field," Biden campaign spokesperson Kevin Munoz said. Next week, Biden will raise money in Pennsylvania and Maryland with the states' Democratic governors Josh Shapiro and Wes Moore. Recent polling has shown the GOP frontrunner leading Biden in hypothetical matchups in key swing states and on the national level. Hollywood and the entertainment industry overall lean Democratic, at least when it comes to fundraising, according to OpenSecrets, which tracks campaign contributions.
Persons: Joe Biden, Nathan Howard, Biden, James Taylor, Stephen Spielberg, Rob Reiner, Michael Smith, James Costos, Barack Obama's, Lenny Kravitz, Wendy Schmidt, Eric Schmidt, Rick Caruso, Robert Tuttle, outperforming, MAGA, Kevin Munoz, Josh Shapiro, Wes Moore, Kamala Harris, Gretchen Whitmer, Alex Padilla, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Donald Trump, Charles Koch's, Nikki Haley, Miriam Adelson, ouptaced Trump, Jarrett Renshaw, Heather Timmons, Bill Berkrot Organizations: White, 46th Kennedy Center, REUTERS, Democratic, Reuters, HBO, Los, Biden, Super, Trump, Democratic Party, Republican, Democratic National Committee, Hollywood, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Boston, California, Los Angeles, Spain, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Michigan, Alex Padilla of California
Some 1,200 Israelis have been killed, mostly during Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack on Israel that triggered the war. Biden’s unwillingness to call for a ceasefire has damaged his relationship with the American Muslim community beyond repair, according to Minneapolis-based Jaylani Hussein, who helped organize the conference. One of the things that made us even more angry is the fact that most of us actually voted for President Biden. But leaders said Saturday that the community's support for Biden has vanished as more Palestinian men, women and children are killed in Gaza. The Muslim community leaders' condemnation of Biden does not indicate support for former President Donald Trump, the clear front-runner in the Republican primary, Hussein clarified.
Persons: Joe Biden, Jaylani Hussein, Hussein, ” Hussein, Biden, Donald Trump, ___ Savage Organizations: CHICAGO, U.S, Biden, Health Ministry, Hamas, Associated Press, Democratic, White House, Pew Research, Republican, America Statehouse News Initiative, America Locations: Detroit, Gaza, Michigan, Israel, Michigan , Minnesota, Arizona , Wisconsin, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, , Dearborn , Michigan, United States, Minneapolis, Michigan , Wisconsin
Steve Beshear – faces Republican Attorney General Daniel Cameron, a protege of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. In Mississippi, Republican Lynn Fitch is seeking a second term against Greta Kemp Martin, the litigation director of Disability Rights Mississippi. Democratic attorney Lindsey Cheek won the other runoff slot by taking 23% of the all-party primary vote. In Mississippi, Republican incumbent Michael Watson is seeking a second term and should easily defeat Democrat Ty Pinkins. She will face Democratic attorney, accountant, and small business owner Gwen Collins-Greenup, who finished second in the primary.
Persons: — it’s, Kentuckians, Andy Beshear, Jeff Landry, Beshear, Steve Beshear –, Daniel Cameron, Mitch McConnell, Kentucky’s, He’s, Cameron, Tate Reeves, Brandon Presley, Elvis Presley, Presley, Reeves, Democrat hasn’t, Jim Hood, Glenn Youngkin’s, Winsome Sears, Youngkin, Phil Murphy, Democratic Sen, Robert Menendez, Joe Biden, Max Baer, Carolyn Carluccio, Daniel McCaffery, Donald Trump, wouldn’t, Roe, Wade, Ohio’s, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Janet Mills, Russell Coleman, McConnell, Pamela Stevenson, Republican Lynn Fitch, Greta Kemp Martin, Fitch, Liz Murrill, Landry, Lindsey Cheek, Michael Adams, Buddy Wheatley, Adams, Michael Watson, Ty Pinkins, Shuwaski Young, Young, Kyle Ardoin, Nancy Landry, Gwen Collins, Greenup Organizations: Democratic Gov, Democratic, Republican, Gubernatorial, Gov, Lean Democratic, Republican Gov, Public Service Commission, Democrat, Mississippi, Public, Impact Research, Lean Republican, State Legislative, Virginia, GOP, Senate, Republicans, House, George Mason University, Assembly, , New Jersey Republicans, Pleas, Superior Court, Ohio, Sierra Club, AFL, of Commerce, Avangrid Inc, Trump, Air Force, Disability Rights Mississippi, State, Iraq Locations: Mississippi, Virginia, Republican . New Jersey, Garden, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Maine, In Kentucky, Republican Mississippi, U.S, Northern Virginia, Richmond, Hampton Roads, Washington, New Jersey, , New Jersey, Montgomery County, In Ohio, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Massachusetts, Texas, Kentucky, Louisiana, State Kentucky, In Mississippi
All three states lean heavily Republican in federal elections, yet Democrats currently control the governorship in two out of the three. As usual, we are rating these races on the following scale: Safe Republican, Likely Republican, Lean Republican, Toss-Up, Lean Democratic, Likely Democratic and Safe Democratic. The race moving in the Republican direction is Louisiana, which we’re shifting from Likely Republican to Safe Republican. But for now, we’ll keep it at Likely Republican. That may be in tune with Kentucky voters, who, despite the state’s Republican lean, rejected a 2022 ballot measure that would have enhanced the state’s ability to outlaw abortion.
Persons: There’s, Andy Beshear, Democrat John Bel Edwards, Republican Tate Reeves, Edwards, Jeff Landry, Shawn Wilson, Edwards –, Landry, Donald Trump, Stephen Waguespack, John Schroder, Sen, Sharon Hewitt, Hunter Lundy, Lundy, he’s, polluters, Wilson, Mason, Dixon, that’s, Republican Reeves isn’t, Brandon Presley, Phil Bryant, Brett Favre, Favre, Reeves hasn’t, drumbeat, Reeves, Democrat hasn’t, Jim Hood, Presley, Elvis Presley, Beshear, Steve Beshear, Daniel Cameron, Mitch McConnell, Joe Biden, Kentuckians, Cameron, He’s, Trump Organizations: Republicans, Democrat, Republican, Lean Republican, Lean Democratic, Democratic, Safe Democratic, Safe Republican, Louisiana Safe Republican, Republican Party, Republican Governors Association, Mississippi, NFL, University of Southern, Public Service Commission, Kentucky Lean Democratic, Gov, Beshear, Kentucky, Democratic Governors Association Locations: Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, In Mississippi, Landry, Lundy, Brandon, Federal, University of Southern Mississippi, Cincinnati
Right now, the likely Republican alternative to Biden in a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup appears to be Donald Trump. Voters who like Trump favor him by more than 90 points over Biden, while those who like Biden favor him by more than 90 points over Trump. This means the election will come down to the 29% of voters (according to our poll) who hold a favorable view of neither Biden nor Trump. Trump won that group by 17 points – and with it, the election. But in our latest poll, Trump leads Biden by 7 points among the 29% of voters who view neither of them favorably.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, There’s, Donald Trump, That’s, Trump, Hillary Clinton, don’t, isn’t Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Biden, Trump, Voters, GOP, Quinnipiac University, The New York Times, Siena College
Ambivalent during early internal debate, Kavanaugh eventually gave Roberts enough confidence that he could write an opinion for a majority. The state’s approach would have wholly undercut the history and purpose of the landmark Voting Rights Act, passed at the height of the Civil Rights movement to try to end race discrimination. Senior conservative Thomas, who has been unyielding in his rejection of race-based practices, was ready to write a far-reaching opinion against the court’s Voting Rights Act precedent for redistricting. Meanwhile, Kavanaugh and Roberts came together, ensuring the chief a five-justice majority for the robust endorsement of Voting Rights Act remedies when states discriminate in redistricting. The Alabama redistricting case shook out differently as Kavanaugh signed a significant portion of Roberts’ opinion.
Persons: John Roberts, Brett Kavanaugh, Roberts, Kavanaugh, , Steve Marshall, Edmund LaCour, , Donald Trump, Ramos, Atticus Finch, , Bill Clinton, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Amy Coney Barrett, General LaCour, Holder, Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, Ketanji Brown Jackson, Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, Thomas ’, Barrett, George H.W, Roe, Wade, Dobbs, ” Roberts, General Marshall, LaCour, Organizations: CNN, Alabama, Republican, Supreme, Blacks, Democratic, Notre Dame, Black, Trump, Black Democrats, , Civil, Senior, Jackson, Health Organization, Harvard, University of North Locations: Alabama, Black, Minnesota, . Louisiana, . Mississippi, ” Alabama, Shelby County, Bush, Mississippi, University of North Carolina,
CNN —Much remains unknown of course about the presidential general election whose traditional kick-off will come one year from today on Labor Day, 2024. Twenty states have likewise voted for the GOP presidential nominee in all four of those contests. That means 40 of the 50 states, or 80%, have voted the same way in four consecutive presidential elections. In the presidential elections of 2012, 2016 and 2020, though, the states where the margin of victory landed within four points of the national vote total dwindled. Eventually a Democratic choice to write off Florida and Ohio could provide a tactical benefit for the GOP presidential nominee.
Persons: , Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama’s, Joe Biden’s, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Trump, hasn’t, Obama, Kyle Kondik, Ball, Kondik, Amy Walter, Biden, Crystal Ball, Cook, Trump’s, headwinds, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Roy Cooper, Erika Franklin Fowler, , George W, Bush’s, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Michael Bloomberg, I’ve, Steve Schale, Schale, don’t, it’s, “ Biden, Ben Tulchin, Fowler Organizations: CNN, Labor, White, Democratic, GOP, University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, Electoral College, Trump, Democrats, Crystal Ball, New Hampshire, Republican, White House, Biden, Pennsylvania Senate, Democratic Gov, Wesleyan Media Project, Wesleyan University, Electoral, Republicans, , Wisconsin, District, New, New York City, Sunshine Locations: Indiana , Iowa , Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Arizona , Georgia, New, dislodging Michigan, Nebraska, Ohio, New York, Minnesota, New Hampshire , Virginia, Oregon, Texas
CNN —In a move surprising even for a mercurial figure like Vivek Ramaswamy, the millionaire businessman this past week took a backhanded swipe at fellow Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley. For many Indian Americans and many Anglo Indians like me, Ramaswamy’s line of attack might not seem particularly surprising. With his jab at Haley, Ramaswamy almost certainly was not looking to ingratiate himself with Indian Americans. And on the whole, surveys show that nearly seven in 10 Indian voters in the United States identify as Democrats or lean Democratic. This did Ramaswamy no favors with Indian voters, especially Indian women.
Persons: Jeff Vasishta, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Alex Garcia, Nimarata Nikki Randhawa, Narendra Modi, , Ramaswamy –, Haley, Ramaswamy, Barack Obama, Haley —, Ramaswamy —, — weaponized, ingratiate, Biden, Kamala Harris, , Donald Trump, Obama, won’t, We’re Organizations: Rolling Stone, Billboard, Variety, CNN, Democratic National Convention, Indian, UN, Republican, Trump, Twitter, Facebook Locations: Rolling, South Carolina, British, India, United States, Silicon Valley, Milwaukee, New York, America
Republican leaders and presidential candidates filed in to applaud Friday's Supreme Court decision striking down President Joe Biden's student loan relief program. Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., another presidential contender, called the loan forgiveness plan an "illegal and immoral" bid to "transfer student debt to taxpayers." Meyer noted, however, that she doesn't expect the ruling will mark an end to the efforts to forgive student loan debt. Other Republicans have put forward alternative plans for addressing the country's burgeoning student loan debt. Canceling student debt is a popular idea: Polls have shown that most registered voters support at least some form of loan forgiveness.
Persons: Mike Pence, Friday's, Joe Biden's, today's, Donald Trump, Sen, Tim Scott, Scott, Katharine Meyer, Meyer, Biden, Pence, Ron DeSantis, Trump, DeSantis Organizations: United, Republican, White, Trump, Biden, Brookings Institution, Republican National Committee, The Washington Post, Florida Gov, GOP, Senate Republicans Locations: United States, Ankeny , Iowa
I’ve long been a fan of No Labels, the organization that works to reduce political polarization and Washington gridlock. That project is a $70 million effort to secure ballot access for a potential third presidential candidate in 2024. Today, they argue, the electorate is roughly evenly split among those who lean Democratic, those who lean Republican and the unaffiliated. Fifty-nine percent of voters surveyed in that No Labels analysis said if that happened, they would consider voting for a third moderate candidate. If the No Labels candidate won just 61 percent of this disaffected group and the remainder was split evenly between two other candidates, he or she would capture a plurality of the electorate and could win the presidency.
Persons: Washington gridlock, I’ve, Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Washington, Democrats, White Locations: America
Washington CNN —Half of Americans support a US government ban on TikTok, while 22% oppose the idea and more than a quarter are unsure, according to a Pew Research Center survey released Friday. But it also underscores that significant portions of the country, 28% of Americans, remain uncertain about a ban on TikTok, suggesting they do not have firm views on the matter. Some 19% of TikTok users did express support for a US government ban, however. The survey found, however, that most Americans — nearly two-thirds (64%) — are aware of TikTok’s China connection. There is a partisan gap as well, with 60% of Republicans or those who lean Republican in favor of banning TikTok, Pew found, compared to 43% of Democrats or those who lean Democratic.
WASHINGTON — As 2022 draws to a close, President Joe Biden plans to give an upbeat national address Thursday afternoon with a unifying message. Biden would be traveling the country touting reduced insulin prices and new road projects, while House Republicans hold hearings into obscure conspiracy theories. The first is Biden runs and loses, perhaps to a younger Republican opponent who eclipses Trump as the new GOP favorite. His top aides have been meeting privately with left-leaning interest groups urging them to go out and showcase Biden’s record. “President Biden became the first president since FDR in 1934 to not lose a single incumbent United States Senate seat” in the midterms, Donilon wrote.
ATLANTA, Dec 6 (Reuters) - Polls closed on Tuesday in a hard-fought runoff election between Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock and Republican former football star Herschel Walker that will determine whether Democrats can expand their razor-thin Senate majority. With 10% of the estimated vote tallied, Warnock led Walker by 65% to 35%, according to Edison Research. [1/6] Local residents wait in line to cast their ballot during the runoff U.S. Senate election between Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock and his Republican challenger Herschel Walker in Atlanta, Georgia, U.S., December 6, 2022. The truth is my opponent could still win this election," Warnock told a crowd in Norcross, Georgia, on Tuesday. "I feel that Herschel Walker is unsuitable for the job, to say the least," he said.
ATLANTA — Georgia has set new records for early voting again as the two Senate candidates blitz the state ahead of Tuesday’s runoff election. White voters made up 55% of early voters, 32% were Black, and Latinos and Asian Americans each accounted for less than 2% of the total. Among Georgians under 30 years old, 15.5% of early runoff voters didn’t turn out for the general election. A resident fills out paperwork before early voting at a polling station in Atlanta on Tuesday. Another 32% of early voters are age 50 to 64, and 30% are younger than 50.
Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola won against three others — including Sarah Palin — in Alaska's at-large congressional district. Alaska has only one congressional district and therefore does not go through a redistricting process. Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola of Alaska has defeated three challengers in Alaska's at-large congressional district general election — most notably former Gov. Palin, the former governor of Alaska, has known Peltola for years and served alongside her in the Alaska state house. Although Alaska's 2022 general election, much like the special election, will largely be centered around Peltola and Palin, Alaska's ranked choice voting system makes this a four-way race.
For the midterm election on Nov. 8, there were 35 states that had Senate races. Delays were seen in Arizona and Nevada, where the Senate races were called for Democrats on Nov. 11 and Nov. 12 respectively. All four projected Democrat wins for the Senate races on election night, after the polls closed. In Illinois and Maryland, known as “Solid Democratic” states, the Senate race was called on election day. Only two of 14 U.S. Senate races resulting in Democrat wins in states that allow mail-in voting were not called by Nov 9.
Rep. Katie Porter ran against Republican Scott Baugh in California's 47th Congressional District. 2022 General EmbedsCalifornia's 47th Congressional District candidatesPorter ran for her third term in the House and sits on the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform. This was Baugh's third time running for the 47th Congressional District seat. Voting history for California's 47th Congressional DistrictCalifornia's 47th Congressional District is an affluent coastal district that covers a large swath of Orange County. Her opponent, Baugh, raised $2.7 million, spent nearly $2.6 million, and had $139,000 cash on hand, as of October 19.
Rep. Steve Horsford defeated Republican Sam Peters in Nevada's 4th Congressional District. Senate Chevron icon It indicates an expandable section or menu, or sometimes previous / next navigation options. (3 Districts) Chevron icon It indicates an expandable section or menu, or sometimes previous / next navigation options. NV-01NV-03NV-04 House Governor Chevron icon It indicates an expandable section or menu, or sometimes previous / next navigation options. RenoNorth Las Vegas MayorDemocratic Rep. Steve Horsford defeated Republican Sam Peters in Nevada's 4th Congressional District.
Rep. Dan Kildee faces Republican Paul Junge in Michigan's 8th Congressional District. The 8th District is centered around the city of Flint, Michigan. Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee faces Republican Paul Junge in Michigan's 8th Congressional District. 2022 General EmbedsMichigan's 8th Congressional District candidatesKildee was elected the representative for Michigan's 5th Congressional District pre-redistricting, succeeding his uncle Dale Kildee, who occupied the seat from 1977 to 2013. Voting history for Michigan's 8th Congressional DistrictMichigan's 8th Congressional District is centered around the city of Flint.
Rep. Dan Kildee defeated Republican Paul Junge in Michigan's 8th Congressional District. The 8th District is centered around the city of Flint, Michigan. Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee defeated Republican Paul Junge in Michigan's 8th Congressional District. 2022 General EmbedsMichigan's 8th Congressional District candidatesKildee was elected the representative for Michigan's 5th Congressional District pre-redistricting, succeeding his uncle Dale Kildee, who occupied the seat from 1977 to 2013. Voting history for Michigan's 8th Congressional DistrictMichigan's 8th Congressional District is centered around the city of Flint.
Democrat Hillary Scholten faced off against Republican John Gibbs in Michigan's 3rd District. Gibbs ousted incumbent Rep. Peter Meijer in a primary that hinged on Meijer's vote to impeach Trump. Democrat Hillary Scholten defeated Republican John Gibbs in a race overshadowed by former President Donald Trump and the remnants of a contentious GOP primary in Michigan's 3rd Congressional District. Scholten, a former Department of Justice attorney, has portrayed herself as a consensus-seeking Democrat who would rein in her party's spending plans. A state commission grappled with the loss of a seat by forcing the 3rd District to absorb much of an old seat, per FiveThirtyEight.
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